NFL Week 14 Opening Line and Analysis – Early Picks
Scott Morris | December 7, 2020
Catching early lines can really be a benefit. The point spreads tighten up as the week goes on. Two points really can make all the difference in the long run.
Last week our early line analysis and picks went about .500. Let’s see if we can do better this week. There is one disadvantage to betting lines early. And that is not knowing the full injury report. But there is an equal chance a player from the opposing team will be injured (or covid) as well. So, this too is a gamble.
Week 14 NFL Opening Point Spreads
| Teams | Opening Line | Our Line | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rams vs NE | Rams -6.5 | Rams -4.5 | Yes (NE) |
| NYG vs Arizona | Arizona -2.5 | Arizona -2.5 | No |
| Carolina vs Denver | Carolina -3.5 | Carolina -4 | No |
| Miami vs KC | KC -7.5 | KC -7.5 | No |
| Chicago vs Houston | Hou -1.5 | Hou -2 | No |
| Tampa Bay vs Minny | TB -6.5 | TB -7.5 | No |
| Jax vs Tenn | Tenn -7.5 | Tenn -5.5 | Yes (Jax) |
| Cincy vs Dallas | Dallas -3.5 | Dallas -3 | No |
| Las Vegas vs Indy | Indy -2.5 | Indy PK | Yes (LV) |
| Chargers vs ATL | ATL -2.5 | ATL -1.5 | No |
| SF vs WAS | SF -4.5 | SF -6.5 | Yes (SF) |
| Philly vs N.O. | N.O. -7 | N.O. -5 | Yes (PHI) |
| DET vs G.B. | G.B. -7.5 | Green Bay -4.5 | Yes (Det) |
| Buffalo vs Pitt | Pit -2 | Pit -2 | No |
| CLE vs Balt | Off | Clev -2 | Off |
According to our early advantage handicapping, the following picks should be bet early:
- NE +6.5 (Buy point if possible to make +7.5)
- Jax +7.5
- LV +2.5 (Buy the point and get over a FG)
- SF -4.5
- PHI +7 (Buy the half and make +7.5)
- Det +7.5
