Ravens vs Broncos Free Pick

The Broncos, with the rookie QB Bo Nix, are riding high. They are on a two game win streak coming into this weekend and are 5-3 straight up. They are even better against the spread with a 6-2 record ATS and 4-0 ATS on the road. Their counterparts this weekend are the Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens are also 5-3 SU after a slow start where they dropped their first two to the Chiefs and the Raiders. Baltimore is 4-3-1 ATS including a 1-1-1 home ATS record.

This matchup has Baltimore as the heavy favorite at -9 points at sportsbooks. The Ravens are coming off shocking loss at Cleveland where they were 9 point favorites.

Quality of Opponent

The Broncos have been lucky to this point playing a lot of fairy bad teams. However, the win at Tampa was one they were supposed to lose and yet they pulled it off. Beating the Saints with their rookie backup and the worst team in the league (Panthers) doesn’t say much.

The Ravens, on the other hand, have played some tough ones. They smashed the Bills 35-10 a month ago. They traveled to Cincy and beat them. They also defeated the aforementioned Bucs in Tampa. And they defeated the upstart and solid Washington Redsk… err.. I mean Commanders. Before losing to the Browns last week they were on 5 game win streak.

Action Report

The ticket count is about even for this match up but 2/3 of the money is backing the road dogs. I think this trend will continue from now until kickoff. The public sees 9 points as a bit high for a team coming off an embarrassing road loss vs a team with an identical record.

Pick

I can see a seesaw battle for a bit with the Ravens eventually wearing down Denver and putting up some buffer scores late. I think Bo Nix may struggle in the hostile Baltimore environment and I also think that the Ravens offense is due for a big game. Look for Denver to drop to 4-1 ATS on the road and take the Ravens minus the points in this game.