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Raiders vs Chiefs Free Pick

Scott Morris | October 23, 2024
Raiders vs Chiefs free pick

The undefeated Kansas City Chiefs (6-0) will be in Sin City to take on Antonio Pierce’s Raiders. The Raiders are having a tough 2-5 year and have been exploring trading away top talent for a chance at a rebuild. They already traded away Devante Adams to the Jets and DE Maxx Crosby is said to be next. Who knows?

These teams last played in December and the Raiders were victorious is this matchup. Mahomes was sacked 4 times in this game.

Raiders starting QB Aiden O’Connell is out 4-6 weeks with a fractured thumb so the Raiders will turn back to their original starter Gardner Minshew.

Minshew has struggled with turnovers this season which is why he was benched for O’Connell to begin with. Minshew is capable of making big plays but struggles with consistency. Let’s not forget that Minshew and the Raiders went to Baltimore and beat the Ravens in week 2. He completed 30 of 38 passes for 276 yards and a TD.

The Chiefs are coming off their biggest win of the season at San Fran, though it was a against an injury riddled 49ers team. They are flying high but we see this next game as a “let down game” for them. The Raiders will be playing with a nothing-to-lose attitude and teams are dangerous when they are in that mindset.

The Chiefs are -10 points at NFL odds and are getting about 75% of the handle and tickets, making for an excellent against-the-public (ATP) play on the Raiders. Some sharp action has been reported on the Raiders as well by our friends in Las Vegas.

We like the Raiders at home getting double digits. We like Maxx Crosby to go off. Buy the hook to make the Raiders +10.5 and while you are at it put a small wager on the Raiders moneyline as well at +400. Bet these picks now at the best BTC sportsbooks online. Update (10/27/24): Line has since crawled down to 9 points. There is still some value here with the Raiders at home.

 

 

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Lopsided Action Report

NFL

SMU +8.5 (45% of tix & 28% of $)
PSU -8.5 (55% of tix & 72% of $)

This is the only game of the day with lopsided action.

 

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