NFL Denver at Buffalo – Monday Night Football Free Pick

The tenth week of the NFL season concludes in suburban Buffalo Monday evening as the 5-4 Bills host the 3-5 Denver Broncos.  

Denver, off a bye, enters with consecutive wins. It ended a forever (16-game) losing streak against the division-nemesis Kansas City Chiefs with a 24-9 home win in late October.

Buffalo’s had a rollercoaster season to this point, playing a pair of 24-18 games (beating the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at home, then losing at the Cincinnati Bengals) in its last two.

Hopes of making it to the postseason by either side would be greatly enhanced with a win.  

Buffalo is an eight-point favorite (total of 47), according to NFL odds.

Moneyline is Bills -375, Broncos at +295.

These old AFL foes have met 40 times (including postseason), Buffalo with a 23-16-1 lead.  

Broncos Bad Bye?

Having finally found a way to defeat the Kansas City Chiefs, the schedule maker then cooled off the Denver Broncos with a bye week. 

Good, bad or perhaps no factor? 

Denver surrenders a league-worst (with the Carolina Panthers) 28.3 points per game, along with an NFL-bottom 405.9 yards/game, so it remains to be seen whether the solid effort against the Chiefs was an aberration.

Quarterback Russell Wilson (1,613 passing yards, 16 touchdowns, four interceptions) had a three-touchdown game against Kansas City. Wideout Courtland Sutton (33 receptions, 380 yards, six touchdowns) is the target of choice.

However, the running game has produced just one touchdown this season. 

These Counterfeit Bills

The Buffalo Bills are, without question, the least consistent team in the league. Entering the season among the wagering choices to win a first-ever title in the NFL, Buffalo has drifted to 16-1 (+1600), as per Super Bowl LVIII odds.

Buffalo’s lost three of its last five, though none at home. Averaging 26.7 points per game this season, but they have been extremely inconsistent on offense. Buffalo has the ability to put points on the board in a hurry, but they also have some games where they just can’t score. 

Quarterback Josh Allen (2,423 passing yards, 18 touchdowns [six rushing touchdowns], five interceptions) has statistically been good, but hasn’t always made the plays when needed.

Wide receiver Stefon Diggs (70 receptions, 834 yards, seven touchdowns) leads a corps of weapons, one of eight with double-digit receptions this season.

Buffalo has found to lose more than its share of winnable games this season, fortunate to beat the moribund New York Giants or the Bills would be on the south side of .500.

Getting late if you’re the Buffalo Bills and wish to be taken seriously as a contender. 

Buffalo Bullies Broncos

Buffalo is coming into this game off of a tough loss, and the Bills (4-0 at home) need to find some consistency, especially on offense.

Denver has been playing much better football in recent games, but the Broncos remain a porous defense. They are going to have a tough time getting stops Monday. 

It’s a pretty big number in this game, but this game gets out of hand in the second half. Bet the Buffalo Bills at -7.5 to roll. Go over, too. Bet now at BETUS.com