Winners and Losers – A Look at Super Bowl 58 Odds Now vs Start of Year
Scott Morris | October 9, 2023
We have completed five weeks of the NFL season. Thankfully, there are another 13 weeks left. In this article we want to look at which teams have over or under performed. There are a few of those.
Underperformed
NY Jets
Its no surprise that the Jets are underperforming their +2500 original odds and are now +15000. They lost HoF QB Aaron Rodgers 4 plays into the season. But, their win at Denver this past weekend does give Jets Fans some hope. They move to 2-3 on the season. I don’t think they have to think too much about winning the Super Bowl however. That ship has sailed.
Las Vegas Raiders
I’m not sure what the sportsbooks were thinking here assigning +4000 to the Raiders at season start. I mean, Jimmy Garoppolo isn’t a team saving type of guy. He is steady, but a world-beater he is not. The Raiders are now down to +25000, right where they belong.
Green Bay Packers
It appears that Jordan Love may not be the QB everyone was hoping he was (yet). But its not entirely his fault either. Green Bay’s defense is allowing 24 PPG. The Pack’s odds have dropped from +2500 to +6600. On the bright side they are 3-1 ATS.
Broncos, Giants, Bears & Panthers, Oh My!
These teams all had starting odds ranging from +4000-6000. They are all now firmly on the “pay no mind list” at +25,000-50,000. To say they have a fork sticking out of them because they are done would be an understatement.
Complete Odds Table
odds found at SportsBetting.ag
| TEAM | CURRENT SUPER BOWL ODDS | OPENING ODDS |
|---|---|---|
| San Francisco 49ers | +250 | +900 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | +550 | +600 |
| Buffalo Bills | +900 | +900 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +700 | +900 |
| Dallas Cowboys | +1200 | +1400 |
| Miami Dolphins | +800 | +2200 |
| Baltimore Ravens | +2000 | +1800 |
| Detroit Lions | +1800 | +2500 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +2200 | +2000 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +3000 | +2500 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +2800 | +900 |
| Cleveland Browns | +3500 | +4000 |
| Seattle Seahawks | +4000 | +6600 |
| New Orleans Saints | +3500 | +3000 |
| Green Bay Packers | +6600 | +2500 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +6600 | +8000 |
| Los Angeles Rams | +8000 | +3000 |
| Minnesota Vikings | +8000 | +4000 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +8000 | +5000 |
| Tennessee Titans | +8000 | +6600 |
| Atlanta Falcons | +10000 | +8000 |
| Houston Texans | +10000 | +25000 |
| Indianapolis Colts | +12500 | +15000 |
| New England Patriots | +12500 | +5000 |
| Washington Commanders | +12500 | +5000 |
| New York Jets | +15000 | +2500 |
| Denver Broncos | +20000 | +4000 |
| New York Giants | +20000 | +4000 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +25000 | +4000 |
| Carolina Panthers | +50000 | +5000 |
| Chicago Bears | +50000 | +6600 |
| Arizona Cardinals | +75000 | +25000 |
Overperforming Teams
SF 49ers
It’s hard to say this team has overperformed when they were already on the shortlist to win the Super Bowl. But they have managed to take their odds from +900 down to just +250 to become the overwhelming favorite to win it all. They look unstoppable. But the season is long and there are alot of games left, and miles to go before I sleep.
Miami Dolphins
Everyone knew this offense would be great. But the biggest question marks coming into the season were Tua’s health and the defense’s ability to close out games. Truth be told, those are still pertinent concerns. Tua has not taken many hits at all and it is entirely possible that if he does that his concussion issue may resurface. The Dolphins defense is hanging on for dear life and has allowed over 30 points in two games this year already. Miami started the season at +2200 and is now down to +800
