Defending Super Bowl Champs Win and Cover in Week 1

Since we first broached this topic six years ago with a similarly titled article – Defending Super Bowl Champions Have Been Profitable in Week 1 – the trend has continued for the most part. In that article written in 2016 we stated that the defending Super Bowl champions are 14-2 SU and 10-4-2 ATS in Week 1 of the following regular season since 2000. Since that article was written, defending champs have gone 3-2 ATS & 4-1 SU in week 1 the following season for a record of 13-6-2 ATS. The defending Super Bowl champs are 18-6 straight up in week 1 in the last 24 seasons.

Super Bowl champ Rams are playing tomorrow and are home underdogs (+2.5) at BetUS.com. Will they cover the spread? I would say possibly, even probably.

Super Bowl Losers in Week 1

Losers of the Super Bowl have won 7 out of their last 10 in week 1 games straight up. However, they are just 4-6 ATS. Super Bowl loser Cincinnati Bengals are hosting the revamped Steelers at 1pm EST on Sunday. The Bengals are -6.5 points. If trends continue, the Bengals will win the game but fail to cover the spread. In fact, the losing Super Bowl team is just 4-18 ATS in the last 22 seasons.

Conclusion

Based on years past, the picks for week 1 of this season are:

1. Rams +2.5
2. Rams straight up +120
3. Bengals -275
4. Steelers +6.5

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