NFL Public Betting Trends for Week 15
Scott Morris | December 19, 2020
The sportsbooks have been logging action on the NFL games all week long. We have the totals for you to pore over. A lot can be gleaned from the public betting trends and advantage can be had. For instance, if you already like Dallas +3 going into this weekend and you find out that the public is betting San Francisco heavily, this may enhance your confidence levels in that play. Conversely , if you like San Fran, you may back off it now that you know the public is all over it.
The games where both tickets and cash are both over 67% are considered true ATP plays in our opinion. There appear to be many lopsided bets for both tickets and cash this week.
| Matchup | Favorite | Tickets | Cash |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver vs Buffalo | BUF -6 | BUF 84% | BUF 77% |
| Green Bay vs Carolina | GB -8.5 | GB 80% | GB 62% |
| IND vs Houston | IND -7.5 | IND 83% | IND 90% |
| ATL vs TB | TB -6 | TB 82% | TB 87% |
| MIA vs NE | MIA -2 | MIA 79% | MIA 61% |
| WASH vs SEA | SEA -6 | SEA 59% | SEA 62% |
| MIN vs CHI | MIN -3 | MIN 56% | CHI 55% |
| BALT vs JAX | BALT -13 | BALT 77% | JAX 72% |
| DAL vs SF | SF -3 | SF 69% | SF 91% |
| LAR vs NYJ | LAR -17.5 | LAR 72% | LAR 71% |
| ARIZ vs PHI | ARIZ -6.5 | PHI 56% | PHI 78% |
| New ORL vs KC | KC -3 | KC 88% | KC 84% |
| NYG vs CLEV | CLEV -6 | CLEV 87% | CLEV 92% |
| CIN vs PIT | PIT -13 | PIT 85% | PIT 96% |
There are a ton of lopsided games this weekend for sportsbook William Hill (who provided these numbers). An ATP bettor will have to throw down on a lot of games. There is probably no way all or even most of the ATP plays will hit. But stranger things have happened.
One rarity we see in these numbers is the Baltimore at Jax game. It has inverse heavy lopsided action on tickets and money. I don’t know exactly what to make of this but maybe the smarter money is on Jax whereas the average Joe is just betting small on Baltimore.
