NFL Week 11 Opening Lines – Analysis – Early Picks
Scott Morris | November 16, 2020
Every Monday morning we take a look at the schedule for the upcoming late of games. We kick around some lines in the office and settle on what our lines would be if we were running a sportsbook. We then compare them to the actual lines and make some early picks based on the contrasting results.
Last week, in our early lines and picks article we had some moderate success betting this differentials early. There is still one more of those games left from week 10 on the board. We believed that Minny should have been a Pick or -1 and here they are today at -3.5 at most sportsbooks. If you hurry, you can throw down on the Bears.
Anyway, there are only two early contestants for our early pick scheme this week. As you can see from the results listed below, most lines were dead on. Some of the lines are currently off the board.
| Tams | Our Guess | Actual Spread | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals at Seahawks | SEA -3.5 | SEA -3 | NO |
| Bengals at Washington | WAS -2 | WAS -1 | NO |
| Falcons at Saints | Saints -3.5 Injury | Saints -4.5 | NO |
| Steelers at Jags | PIT -7 | PIT -10 | YES |
| Patriots at Texans | NE -2 | NE -2.5 | NO |
| Eagles at Browns | Browns -5.5 | Browns -3.5 | YES |
| Lions at Panthers | CAR -3 | CAR -3 | NO |
| Titans at Ravens | Ravens -4.5 | Ravens -6 | NO |
| Jets at Chargers | SD -7.5 | SD -9 | NO |
| Dolphins at Bronocs | MIA -3 | MIA -3 | NO |
| Cowboys at Vikings | Vikings -10 | Vikings -9 | NO |
| Packers at Colts | Colts -3 | Colts -2.5 | NO |
| Chiefs at Raiders | Chiefs -7 | Chiefs -7 | NO |
| Rams at Bucs | Bucs -4 | Bucs -3.5 | NO |
