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Public Seems to be Ignoring These Trends for TNF – Dolphins at Jags

Scott Morris | September 24, 2020
Thursday Night Football Trends

Thursday Night football appears like it could be very interesting. Sure, you have the 0-2 Dolphins playing. But I don’t think anybody can say that Miami isn’t building something special. They have a very young team with flashes of brilliance.

Then you have the Jacksonville Jags who are also building something very special too. They may actually be a little ahead of the Fins because they appear to have their QB of the future. Gardner Minshew II is playing pretty darn good ball. In two games he has passed for 512 yards, 6 TD’s and just 2 picks. He and his Jags were able to beat Indianapolis in week one and came very close to beating the Titans this past Sunday.

Many sports bettors rely on what they have witnessed most recently for their picks. This is not always such a great idea. This is really a blind spot in their rear view mirror. It is important to know how teams have played similar opponents in recent years as well.

When looking at the Miami’s last 14 games they are 10-4 against the spread. Also, they are 4-1 ATS against AFC opponents.

Other Trends to Consider:

  • Miami is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Miami is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
  • Jacksonville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Jacksonville is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games

These two teams seem to be in a long term seesaw battle. Jax has won the last two times they matched up. Is it Miami’s turn? The public doesn’t believe so.

According to our source at BetOnline.ag , Jacksonville is receiving 75% of the action on tonight’s game. The line currently has Jax favored -2.5 points. Will the public continue with their recent trend of beating the books down? Or will Miami get their first win of the season? The game kicks off in a little over three hours time. Enjoy!

 

SBA Minutes

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Lopsided Action Report

NFL

SMU +8.5 (45% of tix & 28% of $)
PSU -8.5 (55% of tix & 72% of $)

This is the only game of the day with lopsided action.

 

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