Week 11 NFL Picks to Consider
Scott Morris | November 16, 2018
Week 11 of the NFL regular season features a few games that will interest sports bettors who like the spread and the over/under.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Pittsburgh is currently favored by 5 points and has won five straight with its defense playing exceptionally well. The Steelers are allowing an average of 18.6 points per game during their five-game winning streak.
Jacksonville has running back Leonard Fournette back in the fold, but Pittsburgh’s run defense is one of the five best in the NFL. In addition, the Jaguars have averaged just 15.5 points a game during the last seven played in which they have gone 1-6 straight up and 1-5-1 against the spread. Pittsburgh (-5) looks solid in this game.
Philadelphia Eagles vs New Orleans Saints
The over/under is currently sitting on 56 and with the Eagles up and down offense that might seem a bit high. However, New Orleans has scored 96 points in its last two games and is the NFL’s highest scoring team.
The Eagles defense has been strong this season, but few teams have stopped the offense of Drew Brees, Alvin Kamara, Michael Johnson and company.
The bigger concern is if the Eagles will score enough to help with the point total. The answer is yes. The Eagles are averaging just less than 24 points a game and the Saints defense is not known for keeping opponents out of the end zone.
That adds up to a high scoring game easily covering the over/under 56 point total.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New York Giants
The over/under is sitting on 52 and for this matchup that appears to be low. The Buccaneers have the NFL’s worst defense giving up 32.3 points per game while ranking close to the worst in several defensive statistical categories.
The Buccaneers are the league’s worst in turnovers as well on the offensive side of the ball. The Bucs have the NFL’s best OVER record cashing out OVER in 7 of 9 games. In Tampa’s nine games, the average total score for both teams is 58.1.
Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Rams
The Rams enter this game as 3.5-point chalk and that is surprising. The Chiefs have lost just once and that was to New England by a field goal on the road and have thoroughly dominated nearly every other opponent.
The Rams defense is allowing over 34 points per game during its last three. While the Rams offense has proven to be hard to stop, the Chiefs defense has flown under the radar of late with 13 interceptions. While everyone watches the Chiefs offense march up and down the field, few pay attention to a defense that has improved.
The Chiefs (+3.5) may not end up with the win, but losing by a field goal would give them the cover.
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