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NFL Free Pick: Eagles vs Cowboys

Scott Morris | November 18, 2017
Carson Wentz will look to shred Cowboys defense

NFL Sunday Night Football in Week 11 features an NFC East showdown when the Philadelphia Eagles visit the Dallas Cowboys. The current line on top sportsbooks has Philadelphia favored by 5 points with the over/under point total on 48.

Entering this game, Philadelphia on the season is 8-1 straight up and 7-2 against the spread. On the road, the Eagles are 3-1 SU and ATS. Dallas on the season is 5-4 SU and ATS. At home, the Cowboys are 2-2 SU and ATS.

Dallas will not have star running back Ezekiel Elliott when they face the Eagles on Sunday after he withdrew his appeal of his six-game suspension. The Cowboys may also be without star offensive tackle Tyron Smith who missed last week’s game.

Dallas quarterback Dak Prescott threw 15 touchdown passes in the seven games previous to last week, but against Atlanta could score just one rushing touchdown in a 27-7 loss to the Falcons. He was constantly under pressure against the Falcons and passed for just 176 yards.

The Eagles continued their winning ways with their seventh straight victory and look to avenge last season’s 29-23 loss in OT to Dallas at AT&T Stadium. Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz leads the NFL in touchdown passes with 23 and an offense that is ranked second averaging 31.4 points per game.

Alshon Jeffery an offseason acquisition at wide receiver has caught three touchdowns in the last two games for the Eagles. Zach Ertz will return at tight end for the Eagles after missing two straight games.

Smith could miss his second straight game for Dallas with a groin injury and that will hurt Prescott’s protection against the pass rush. Byron Bell will likely be his replacement if he cannot go.

Alfred Morris will fill in at running back for Elliott, while Dez Bryant the top wide receiver for Dallas has been slowed by a knee injury but should play.

Philadelphia defensive end Brandon Graham leads the Eagles in quarterback sacks with five.

Cowboys’ defensive end Marcus Lawrence is leading the NFL in sacks with 11.5.

Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against opponents from the NFC East.

Dallas is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games against teams with a record above .500.

With this free pick, we like Philadelphia to cover.

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Lopsided Action Report

NFL

SMU +8.5 (45% of tix & 28% of $)
PSU -8.5 (55% of tix & 72% of $)

This is the only game of the day with lopsided action.

 

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