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Midwest Regional Final by the Numbers

Scott Morris | March 25, 2017

The No. 1 seeded Kansas Jayhawks play the No. 3 seeded Oregon Ducks in the Midwest Regional Final Saturday night with the winner moving on to the Final Four.

Currently Kansas is 7-point chalk and the over/under total is resting on 156.5.

Oregon opened the season as a top five ranked team but fell on hard times. A 17-game winning streak however put them back into the spotlight. The Ducks lost the Pac-12 tournament title game against Arizona, but have since won three straight to reach the Elite Eight.

Kansas did what it has done the past 13 seasons, win the Big 12 title, but lost early in the season ending conference tournament. That loss might have been a blessing in disguise for the Jayhawks.

Oregon on the season was 20-15-1 against the spread, but is on run since beginning conference play in the Pac-12 of 16-7-1 ATS.

Kansas this season is only 14-18-1 ATS though in its three NCAA Tournament games are 3-0 ATS and have won by a combined 80 points. That is an average point margin of 26.7 and helps to cover almost any spread.

The OVER is on a run of 5-0 in games played by Kansas since its final game of the regular season. The OVER had cashed in 4 straight Oregon games until the UNDER woke up and cashed in its Sweet 16 matchup with Michigan.

Kansas eliminated Oregon in the 2002 NCAA Tournament Elite Eight 104-86 when current North Carolina head coach Roy Williams was coaching Kansas.

Betting Trends

Oregon covered the number in 4 of its past 5 games played at neutral sites as a dog.

Oregon is 1-4-1 ATS in its past 6 games versus an opponent with a .600 or better winning percentage.

Oregon is 0-3-1 ATS in its past 4 games that follow an outright win.

Kansas is 6-1 ATS in its past 7 games played in the NCAA Tournament.

Kansas is 4-1 ATS in its past 5 games as chalk.

Kansas is 4-1 ATS in it past 5 games played on neutral courts.

SBA Minutes

In this section we will post updates and notes about the current betting day/week/season. Check back daily.

Lopsided Action Report

NFL

SMU +8.5 (45% of tix & 28% of $)
PSU -8.5 (55% of tix & 72% of $)

This is the only game of the day with lopsided action.

 

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