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Over/Under Betting Trends for Sunday’s NFL Divisional Playoffs

Scott Morris | January 15, 2017

Like Saturday, Sunday’s slate of NFL games consists of two divisional playoff matchups.

Here is a quick look at the trends for the over/under point total for both games.

Green Bay at Dallas (-5) Total: 52.5

The two teams played during Week 6 with Dallas winning 30-16. The UNDER cashed in that game on a closing line of 47.5.

Since that Week 6 game, Green Bay games have cashed OVER 9 of 11 times, with a current OVER streak of 5 straight coming into this game.

The Packers are averaging 35 points per game during that run of five straight OVERs. The OVER has cashed in 6 of 8 road games for the Packers.

For Dallas, the UNDER cashed in 10 of 16 regular season games and in 4 of 8 at home.

Dallas has two rookies leading the offense in quarterback Dak Prescott and running back Ezekiel Elliott. Both have played very well and should put up points against a weak Packers defensive unit that allows 28.2 points per game on the road.

The Dallas pass rush is weak which will give Aaron Rodgers plenty of time to find his receivers down field. The OVER keeps being nudged up higher, but the two teams should exceed the final total.

Prediction: OVER

Pittsburgh at Kansas City (Pick) Total: 44.5

Pittsburgh routed Kansas City 43-14 back in Week 4. In game, the Steelers were 3.5-point home chalk and the point total was 48.5, which was easily exceeded, thanks to the two teams combining to score 21 points during the fourth quarter.

Since the loss, the Chiefs defense has allowed four opponents to score 20 or more points over the past 12 games and only one at home at Arrowhead Stadium. At home this season, the UNDER cashed in 6 of the 8 Kansas City games.

This season the UNDER cashed in 11 of 17 games for Pittsburgh, including 6 of 8 road games.

Including the win against Miami last week, Pittsburgh has seen three straight games cash UNDER in the postseason, but the previous eight playoff games for Pittsburgh cashed OVER.

The UNDER has cashed in 4 of the past 5 games between the two teams.

The weather could play a big role with rain expected, possibly freezing rain, and temperatures in the 30s.

Prediction: UNDER

SBA Minutes

In this section we will post updates and notes about the current betting day/week/season. Check back daily.

Lopsided Action Report

NFL

SMU +8.5 (45% of tix & 28% of $)
PSU -8.5 (55% of tix & 72% of $)

This is the only game of the day with lopsided action.

 

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